The engine of the real estate market is new home buyers. It is this which drives new homes, the sale of existing ones and enables the entire chain of supply and demand to move on as existing property owners upgrade their homes and move to new ones.
New home buyers however rely on credit and the global credit crunch was threatening to slow down their lifeline and turn a vibrant real estate scene into a stagnant pond with no new home buyers entering the scene and little real movement in real estate.
Thankfully none of this is now going to happen. The US Federal Reserve has made $20 billion available through auction to a large number of commercial banks. In London the Bank of England is about to put in another $20 billion plus in a money market rescue plan aimed at easing the global credit crunch we are experiencing.
As well as the Bank of England and Fed, the European Central Bank and the national banks of Canada and Switzerland are also involved in the plan. What this means for the foreclosure market is two possible things and we will examine each in turn:
First, we will see an easing of credit restrictions and a relaxation of lenders’ fears about defaulting home owners which means that the crackdown we have seen on those who are late in paying their mortgage and the excessive number of foreclosures that are being triggered as a result will start to ease off. This will also ease the pressure on the real estate market which is in danger of becoming imbalanced by the excessive number of foreclosures happening at the moment. This is good news because it means foreclosures that do happen will act as the balancing mechanism for our economy that they are meant to be.
The second thing that will happen with the easing of the global credit crunch is that borrowers will, again, have easier access to credit which is one of the main things driving the housing market.
The net result of this that the real estate market is going to start picking up steam again, house prices which have either dropped or are in stagnation will again register a move and foreclosures, which have been vehicles of opportunity and a means to release pent up cash, will, once again, begin to offer that promise.
I grant that at the moment we are not seeing a lot of hope in that direction but it is early days yet. Money markets have a tremendous amount of inertia and it takes time to see the positive effects take hold. They will though and we will see the results we expect before too long.
























